Analysts Said The Relationship Between China And Libya's New Regime Will Be Initially Cold

China military: 19, the media reported yet that Gaddafi still did not give up, is planning to establish an independent state in southern Libya, 20 at night, Gaddafi has been seriously injured died photo spread throughout the world. Gaddafi's former ally, Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, after learning of his death, said in Latin, everything is changing.

Gaddafi is still alive when captured

In terms of Gaddafi himself, were killed on the battlefield may be a desirable outcome, as he had previously rhetoric to "die on the battlefield," the same. NATO and the "National Transitional Council", the more like a reassuring.
But Gaddafi's death is difficult to fundamentally solve all the problems, Libya is not a bright tomorrow, unprecedented mechanism of the modern state of Libya's ability to achieve a real sense of the "smooth transition", really difficult to predict.
With the valuable oil resources of Libya dispute, when the smoke cleared, the Libyan, who split a piece of "cake", who can win the big game country, really belong to Libya and the war between the major powers, perhaps only just begun ... ...
Red envelope bad points
After the war against radical belligerent Mangqiang resources' contribution. "
France "Tribune" 21 quoted French Defense Minister as saying hot Laer Long cover, the French will seek dominance in the post-war Libya, said the new leader of Libya, "owe" the French. Long cover day to accept the "World News" interview, said that France "will try to play a major role as a partner in Libya, the Libyan leader know that they owe us a lot."
U.S. Cable News Network (CNN), said Libya is estimated that about 430 million barrels of oil reserves, ranking first in Africa. Before the NATO air strikes about 160 million barrels of daily crude oil production, global oil supply, although only about 2%, but is the world's few high-quality light, sweet crude oil. Europe's most important oil and gas as source countries, Libya's oil production 88% exported to Europe, Italy's exports of total exports accounted for 28%, 15% in France, Germany and Spain account for about 10%.
Reported that before the war, Italy has the largest oil exploration in Libya and production share of the Western countries. In this regard, since the victory of the opposition that the legislation of the Libyan contribution of the French have naturally not buy it. There are reports that once the opposition benefits in exchange for French support of oil interests, pledged to control the post-war France, 35 percent of Libya's oil production. French Foreign Minister Alain Juppe, the French do not unabashedly involved in Libya's military conflict known as the "investment in the future."
The "investment" is bound to focus on "return." It can be expected, not only between European countries and the United States, even if the war in France and Italy, and even between Qatar and the Arab countries will have a fight for the interests of the Libyan oil exploration game.
"Washington Observer" that from the United States, although its weight in Libya's oil is not large (only 1% of U.S. oil imports from Libya), but because of their participation in military intervention against Libya have spent nearly 10 billion U.S. dollars, so the United States must not willing to separate the interest in this war in Libya, as spectators, some U.S. oil companies such as ConocoPhillips, Marathon Oil, also eagerly hope to enter Libya.
In addition, with its European allies, the difference is that as a superpower with global interests, the United States from the global counter-terrorism strategy and future development of this round of Libya, North Africa, Middle East turmoil and the future evolution of the region, such as deep-seated pattern of the impact to "weigh" Libya's weight.
Whether the United States intends to set up many years but its still not find foothold in Africa, "African Command" final settled in Libya, has become another focus of observation.
Oil cake
Productivity is the key reconstruction
"Tribune," said Libya's most important post-war reconstruction, is war damage oil production capacity. Gaddafi's death increased the number of interrupts of Libyan oil output in the months after the rapid recovery to the possibility of pre-war level. Previously there had been worried about the outside world, that is because Gaddafi is still at large, his followers and Iraq could launch a similar rebellion against the oil infrastructure. This may cause long-awaited return to normal oil output to delay for some time.
French bank Societe Generale senior commodities analyst Vitner said, fortunately, Gaddafi's followers will now lay down their weapons, Libya will be able to improve the internal security situation, Libya's oil fields will soon resume production.
Italian ANSA news agency reported that Italian energy giant Eni is the first to resume oil exploration in Libya foreign companies. As of September 26, Eni has drilled 15 wells, current daily production of 31,900 barrels of oil. Eni said the company will resume next will be in Libya's production of other wells.
French energy company Total announced September 26 that they had resumed on September 23, oil production, the current scale of production is increasing and is expected to reach 40,000 barrels per day. On the same day, Spain's Repsol-YPF said, although they in Libya's oil reconstruction has not yet begun, but the company has commissioned a contractor to begin to evaluate where the oil structure.
British Broadcasting Corporation reported that Italy and France will resume oil production in oil companies, no doubt to the "transition committee" eating a reassurance.
Make new friends
Unable to play the leading role of NATO invited BRIC siege
French European news station reported that, due to economic recession and the debt crisis and other factors, the NATO countries unable to play the leading role in the reconstruction of Libya alone, so we hope other members of the international community more than their obligations.
The station reported that the EU foreign affairs chief Ashton has said the United Nations should be in Libya since the reconstruction and future development "leading role", while Sarkozy had specifically invited China, Russia, India and Brazil attended the "9.1 "The meeting, and stressed that whether or belligerent, if invited to attend the meeting on" are friends of Libya ", hoping to better the economic situation of these emerging countries intent is obvious.
"USA Today," said Libya has the world's lowest debt ratio, public debt accounted for only GDP3.3%, but after the civil war, Libya devastated, undone, oil production and destruction of public infrastructure in many, many people home destroyed, damage to property. OECD forecasts economic growth for 2011, Libya 19%, compared with -16% in 2012, economic over-dependence on oil exports, oil exports and over-reliance on its own economic downturn but also France, Italy and China, these are the reconstruction of negative factors.
"France 24" news network said, in addition to the division of oil and cake will be trillions of dollars for the reconstruction of the order of the fight outside, led Libya's future political development and their integration into the French President Nicolas Sarkozy proposed the establishment of the "ring Mediterranean Sea Economic Circle "(Gaddafi in the past refused to join the mechanism), it is France and other EU countries further strategic planning.
In addition to this plan, including some EU countries, but also including the Mediterranean coast of Egypt, Tunisia and other North African countries and the Eastern Mediterranean, Israel, Syria, Qatar and other Middle Eastern countries. This "economic circle" of the establishment, not only for Europe's strategic security establishment of buffer zones, and beneficial to the economic expansion of territory, and enhance the French, the European Union's influence in the world.
Libya's relations with China will be cold
Russia, Brazil and China had been no support for the Libyan intervention. The end of August, Reuters quoted a spokesman for the Libyan oil company, said Mary Friends of the husband, then in the opposition came to power, the interests of the three countries will be affected, but analysts believe that this may be a "Dikaigaozou" process.
Dalton, former British ambassador in Libya for the new financial reporters that the case of China, in the long run, due to China's significant economic strength, China will be able to continue to engage in trade with Libya, the new government.
"In the beginning may be a cold relationship, but if the Chinese government's policy on Libya and needs of the new government sensitive to the cold relationship will not last long." Dalton said.
No guarantee that an old friend
European and American intervention is difficult to continue the friendship with the Arab world
"Washington Post" quoted an Atlantic Council in Washington, a senior adviser as saying, "Now the situation is reminiscent of Libya was continuing chaos in Iraq, do not know 'National Transition Council' how to avoid Libya into a quagmire. "
"The Sydney Morning Herald," speculated that Gaddafi's bloody death is the fact that the legitimacy of NATO intervention in the situation in Libya, which the legitimacy of the Arab League and Gulf Cooperation Council in the UN Security Council authority.
While the Arab countries and Turkey is now the National Transitional Council has recognized the legitimate government of Libya, then, to help rebuild Libya's responsibility and whether they fall on the shoulders of European members of NATO do?
USA and Colombia News Network commented that, obviously, what means for experts to help rebuild Libya is helpless, that the new regime for countries to establish diplomatic and Libya seem difficult.
"The Australian" questioned, "What the Arab world, Libya will?" View report quoted political analysts said, despite the change in Libya now seem encouraging, but the violent revolution and the form of external intervention was not destined to become the Arab world change model, and, in Europe and America's intervention, Libya and the Arab world's ability to "old friends" to continue the friendly will be a major challenge.

Read More

NATO has lost patience, and issued a kill order to get Gaddafi

April 6, Gaddafi accused the West after the residence barracks was bombed.

China Military: NATO, the world's largest military group has finally been "the most stubborn" enemy Gaddafi polished patience. 9, NATO officials in the U.S. media's talk show on Gaddafi expressed secretive "shoot to kill" determination. So far, more than 10,000 sorties in the bombing, Gaddafi's official residence in the number of pouring tons of bombs did not bring the "Middle East strongman" shock resignation. Gaddafi's son and assistant in the school with a number of countries and even to discuss with Libyan opposition "to exit the power", the NATO statement intriguing. In this regard, even the U.S. public opinion believes that NATO will kill Gaddafi United Nations resolutions as a "token" is obviously illogical, the real reason is that cloud of a protracted war that NATO belligerent unsettled. Today, NATO and the Gaddafi feel pressed for time, the end result will depend on who is in the "countdown sound of" first "collapse."(China Military)


Gaddafi as a "legitimate military targets"


The evening of June 9, U.S. time, in the U.S. Cable News Network (CNN), a talk show, a NATO senior official for the first time publicly that the United Nations resolution to Muammar Gaddafi of Libya to become NATO's military action " legitimate targets. " Although the name of NATO officials did not directly answer the moderator, "Gaddafi had become a target" of the questioning, but made it clear that Security Council Resolution 1973, "for Gaddafi himself," because the resolution to allow coalition forces to take "all the necessary measures to protect civilians ", which means that all threats to the Libyan military civilians are targets, while Gaddafi is a military leader, and the" legitimate military targets. "(China Military)


CNN commented that the goal of this attack has exceeded our previous United Nations resolutions on the protection of civilians and ceasefire understanding. Gaddafi is now time for NATO to step down not only, they have a new goal: get rid of Qaddafi. 9 U.S. anti-war network, said the purpose of Security Council Resolution 1973 was approved no-fly zone, but the scope has been expanded. Combat has started more than two months, the Libyan situation on the ground did not seem to how to change, NATO officials have even admitted that this war will last until the end and beyond. The cell killing on the Qaddafi's proposal would cause some of the UN Security Council members uneasy, because they had known the result would be, the original should not support this resolution. Get rid of Qaddafi's statement that NATO is desperately looking for ways to change the ground war.(China Military)


Gaddafi's regime has been rushed to the collapse of the former officials of the French position on NATO reacted cautiously. French "Atlas News" said, if reports are true, which means that a fundamental goal of NATO's military transformation, admits Gaddafi himself is no longer targeted. However, the paper said that despite the shift in the international court charged Gaddafi to encourage women to make the context of sexual abuse, but claimed that the Security Council resolutions against Gaddafi found difficult to justify, it tends to result in differences in support of camp and dissent, let alone action after Libyan leader Bouchard NATO has made it clear that "Gaddafi is not the goal of military action," the official position of NATO would really remains to be seen. Radio France Internationale pour cold water on even to this public statement: a means to a variety of carrot and stick looks spectacular, but can not really quickly pulled down this madman.


Japan's Jiji news agency said Gaddafi not only angered the United States, Britain and other European countries also made their "dictatorial" behavior can not stand. Japan's "Sankei Shimbun" said Gaddafi as NATO targets is to "end the war as soon as possible", "together between developed countries shows the great power," Gaddafi regime collapsed in time not far away .


"Nobody killed the leaders of some countries to grant the power of Gaddafi." Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin on April 26 had severely criticized the NATO air strikes Gaddafi himself as a target. 10, Russian media quoted experts as saying, "NATO air strike targets as Gaddafi announced that it would no doubt play a slap in the face of Russia." Russia's "Morning News" said, "NATO finally reveal their true colors," North about has actually been implemented in the fight against Gaddafi's residence, April 30 to killing his son and grandson. The newspaper also said that just yesterday, the Russian presidential envoy in Malta and the Libyan opposition Glover told a news conference after the talks, the Libyan opposition does not want to physically eliminate Qaddafi. He said: "Gaddafi who do not want to move a hair and nail him to the wall in his office."(China Military)


However, including front-line commander of the rebels, including many officials Quedui Daoud, "Global Times" reporter, said: "whether NATO or the Libyan opposition, hope to Gaddafi 'direct address', because that can save a lot of trouble. "western media counterparts also told a reporter:" If NATO really can find the hiding place Gaddafi will certainly not hesitate to be killed. this time NATO's bombing In fact, Qaddafi has been trying to lock. "


Rasmussen said the NATO Secretary General, "Gaddafi lies no more" at the same time, the Libyan Foreign Minister Abdullah Abdullah, the former Miss Sarah Khan, 9, said the rebels "will in a few weeks later than "invaded Tripoli, Gaddafi's day" a few days "the. Members of the AU mediation team told Gaddafi that he "must resign." You Genli German Middle East expert told Davis, "Global Times" reporter, NATO, the African Union, the United States position after another, the international community on issues and Muammar Gaddafi of Libya to step down has been more unified understanding.

British Apache helicopters strike Gaddafi's forces for first time

Gaddafi step to find the final way out

The face of continually tighten the rope around his neck, Gaddafi began to pay close attention to find the last way out. AFP, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton 9, confirmed that Gaddafi's aides began discussions with a number of representative government, "the possibility of transition." Libya, "the National Transitional Council," Foreign Affairs received the Director of Asia and Africa, "Global Times" reporter, said that Gaddafi sent Foreign Minister's visit to Beijing, and sent diplomatic missions around the world is in fact in the Gaddafi " find a way out. "


10 disclosed, Bloomberg, Gaddafi's son Saif frequently with the Libyan opposition recently, "the National Transition Council" contacts with the opposition hoping to reach his father, "out of power" in negotiations. In this regard, Libya, "the National Transitional Council," a minister to the "Global Times" reporter confirmed: "This is not the first time Gaddafi family in touch with us, have said several times before, but not in good faith." The committee assistant principal Xijialile acari said: "Of course, Gaddafi son to talk to us is conditional." However, he stressed that even if the Gaddafi "dream stay in Libya," after the handover of power have to leave.


At the same time, the British "The Independent" 10, said Gaddafi with the Greek government is a government of up to 200 billion U.S. dollars of overseas capital secret negotiations in the hope the money will be used for humanitarian aid to Libya, the two sides, which gesture is to pave the way for peace talks to open both sides. The two sides negotiated for several times without the final signature of a Memorandum of Understanding, the core is 200 billion U.S. dollars of overseas funds to finance humanitarian aid to the warring parties, Gaddafi to hand over power.


Gaddafi on secret contacts between Greece and France warned that such efforts will only increase the legitimacy of the government Gaddafi, and Gaddafi's policy of isolating the West. However, the French Europe, Gaddafi declared a Clinton special envoy to frequent events and Benghazi series of diplomatic activities that are summed up as "make soft pressure on Gaddafi." The station said the need for such rumors too seriously, since Libya since the start of the war, rumors of even more astonishing than this is not no before, but it turned out, Gaddafi will not easily give up power. "Even if you opened the door on its behalf, a snake in the house tour that will take the initiative to go out you?" Libya, "the National Transitional Council," Foreign Ministry Director of the Asia-Pacific lamin to the "Global Times" cited an example: "certainly not Yes! it must strike the right stick left to play, to be out the door. Gaddafi is like a snake. "


Gaddafi, where the final destination? Mali, "the Republic reported," said the Libyan war, no more than three endings, one onto both sides exhausted, to find the steps to step down, but Gaddafi did not leave, this step and easy to find; Second, Gaddafi suddenly Taichetaiwu, recognizing mighty tide of the times, "along prosper Nizhe death" on their own initiative to step down, but the probability of this outcome is not overvalued; the third can only be trying to make Gaddafi die, how death will do , while African countries are waiting for the dust settles I'm afraid, good to discuss how to deal with Gaddafi, who operate in sub-Saharan investment projects Mao You fat to it.(China Military)


Former British Ambassador in Libya, Richard Dutton told the "Global Times" reporter, is not much left to the choice of Gaddafi, the Hague International Criminal Tribunal is likely to be his next stop after leaving Libya. Gaddafi's Libya left for another day can be at it? Benghazi from the current strength of view, have failed.


NATO "can not afford to delay,"


Why not try so hard to be on the Gaddafi NATO shoot to kill? Research Center of the pyramids of Egypt, Mahmoud said, "NATO worry, because now they can not kill or capture Gaddafi, which is somewhat losing face."


In addition to face, Dutton said, is the main reason for the NATO forces want to drag a quick fix can not afford, Libya has also been a belligerent war brought economic pressure. Coalition is currently embodied in Libya effective co-ordination is largely a matter of fact in support of Britain and France. If a long time trapped in Tripoli, Britain and France will support the first live.


French "point of view," said that although the Libyan mission to extend NATO's decision 3 months passed, and to show that the coalition must Gaddafi to step down, not dogged determination, but I hope that many Member States to send troops, in particular, assessed the requirements of military spending has been generally cold, shut the door without a country, but not who generously promises. NATO defense ministers in Brussels meeting, Rasmussen and Runge have admitted that, despite the pressure increased, but was quickly overthrown Gaddafi will not hold, Libya may still be protracted stalemate, and many more participants worry, even if the fall Gaddafi, Libya's mess will still last a long time. Japan's NHK television said NATO began on 9 May the Libyan capital, a stronghold of the Gaddafi regime, high-intensity bombing, has also invested helicopter operations, but is also open both sides did not see a stalemate situation. 10 days, according to Libyan state television reported the same day NATO helicopter was shot down in Libya. Day, the outgoing U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said that if the mean and the lack of political will to continue, NATO will face "if not bleak, that is, dark" in the future.


NATO announced at this time for the kill, the Russian attitude change, the situation has become increasingly clear whether Gaddafi to step down end is very clear. Dag NATO under Kill at this time, is hoping to end the current war in Libya, but also that NATO does not want to Gaddafi as a negotiating position. Exactly what the outcome will depend on NATO's first find the Gaddafi, Gaddafi asked to find a solution to the problem is still the key.(China Military)

Read More

Military experts said the Libyan government troops have completely lost control of the air

June 3, on a French Northwest Wind class amphibious assault ship in the Mediterranean Sea,  the helicopter gunship combat mission ready to perform strikes for the first time.


Recently, the contacts between China and the two warring sides of Libya caused widespread international attention. Hong Lei, the Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman confirmed that Libya's foreign minister on June 7 to 9 visited China, and exchanged views on Libyan current crisis situation and political solution to the crisis in Libya and such issues with Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi. So, how should China's difficulties in addressing the role of Libya, Libya, and which new trends in the situation in it? Next, please listen to Chinese military experts, "World Military" magazine editor in chief of the analysis of Chen Hu interpretation.

Libya has completely lost control of the air

Reporter: Many people have been changes in the Libyan situation of the war news in a state of fatigue, but this time in the recent Libyan situation has emerged a series of subtle, noteworthy changes, these changes in the end, what does?
Chen: The four major changes in general, the first British and French armed helicopters are directly involved in air strikes on the Libyan government troops, then this change mean? In the Kosovo war, the U.S. military also sent Apache helicopters, but until the end of the war in Kosovo, the United States have dared to enter into the helicopter over the battlefield, and so far as to anti-British and French armed helicopters, should be far less than the overall strength of the the U.S. military, but it dares to go directly to the air strikes in Libya, which shows today's air supremacy over the loss of clean and Libya, which only include high-altitude, hollow, even including the low-altitude and low altitude. Low-altitude and low altitude air defense capabilities of the loss, means that even the light from the ground and other air defense weapons and air defense weapons have become quite weak, and Qaddafi's armed forces have been reduced to a considerable extent.

Gaddafi gradually lost domestic support

Reporter: The government and opposition armed forces into a stalemate, as well as senior officials from Qaddafi government forces away message in the end mean?
Chen Hu: In fact, it shows Gaddafi's government and two rebel military forces he was up here a change in consumption, though the rebels still unable to hold large-scale ground offensive, but the party also lost Gaddafi the implementation of large-scale anti-government armed ground attack this capacity. Gaddafi's official look at disposable cards and fled, the changes show that the Gaddafi is losing more and more domestic support.
Libya, the Libyan people should be there tomorrow to support the legitimate government
Reporter: June 7 to 9, the Libyan foreign minister to visit China at the same time, the Chinese embassy in Egypt had recently arrived diplomats in Benghazi, Libya, to understand the humanitarian situation and the situation related to Chinese-funded institutions, and with the Libyan National Transition Committee who were contacted. How to treat China in a political solution to the Libyan crisis effects?
Chen Hu: This message appears, the Western media, there will be a lot of comments about China in the last one to take the bus, some people even say that China's attitude to the situation in Libya is changing, just use this information to determine China's Libya change the attitude of the situation, I am afraid too lightly, because at the press conference, Foreign Ministry spokesman stressed that the word has been that China is willing to work together with the international community, efforts to promote a political solution to the crisis of Libya. In fact, evolution by Libya to this day, we all care about what kind of an outcome in the most favorable outcome, if you say it is very simple, it is Libya that the Libyan people for the emergence of a recognized, legitimate government supported by the same time, this government has To the international community should assume his responsibility, such an outcome should all work together to achieve, both domestic political forces in Libya, but also should include the countries of the international community to jointly come up with a response and resolution program.

Read More

Behind Gaddafi abandoned: Russia "changed faces" for rich rewards

May 27, the closing of Eight summit, Russia eventually signed with other members of the Group of Eight "Deauville Declaration," Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi agreed should step down. Medvedev agreed to act as "facilitator" and sent a special envoy to visit Libya Benghazi stronghold of the opposition, and said Gaddafi to step down, "regardless of Libya, or on the Libyan people will benefit." June 2, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov made it clear that Russia does not consider Gaddafi to provide "immunity or any protection."

Group of Eight summit 2011, in the town of Deauville in Northwest coastal France

From the former "close ally" to the present as a "political corpse", the Russian attitude to the Gaddafi suddenly "fade."

So what exactly is Russia's choice "sacrifice" Gaddafi? Why choose this time to "sacrifice" Gaddafi rather than support for NATO from the beginning? Although we are not "WikiLeaks", not that one of the insider, but I believe that the following aspects can still see some clues.

First of all, the Russian change of attitude, reflecting Russia has begun to "Houkazhafei era," the layout of Libya, Libya's oil and gas resources to do a complete ready to fall into the hands of the opposition. In addition to oil resources, Russia and Libya still has a huge multi-billion dollar arms trade, Gaddafi won if the West is bound to its long-term arms embargo, and if the opposition wins, is bound to the bulk purchase Western products, the two results will bear the huge loss of Russia. But bargain with the opposition in advance, you can minimize that damage, even in the reconstruction process to cash in on some benefits.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman confirmed the contact between Libya "National Transition Council" and the China.

There are three news deserves special attention in the crucial moment when Russia changed attitude.

First, France on May 26 announced the sale of four to Russia for "Northwest Wind"-class helicopter carrier reached an agreement with Russia. French President Nicolas Sarkozy before the start of G8 summit meeting with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, Sarkozy to meet Hou Sake announced that France and Russia have "Northwest Wind" class vessels trading to reach a final agreement, talks between the two countries had gone through several times twists and turns and deadlock. Does France have been eager to get Russia's "Northwest Wind" as a "betrayal" Gaddafi's chips, the outside is not known, but according to the Associated Press reported, G8 summit, held in Deauville, France, U.S. President Obama, President of France Sarkozy, Dmitry Medvedev, who was active on lobbying, which prompted Russia's attitude has hardened against Libya. From the current results, "Northwest Wind" is probably an important bargaining chip to persuade the U.S. and Europe one of Russia.

Second, the Russian Federal Military Technical Cooperation Agency 27, said that Russia would sell the U.S. military 21 m -17 military helicopter, equipped with the Afghan Air Force, each priced at $ 17,500,000 helicopter. In France and Russia, "Northwest Wind" in the negotiations, one of the reasons twists and turns continue to oppose the United States, and the reason why France and Russia to negotiate, the United States no longer opposed to is the key factor. Worth pondering is that the U.S. not only did not oppose the law of this fire, the Russian trade, but also "outsiders fertilizer into the fields" to spend more than 300 million U.S. dollars to buy Russian helicopters, is indeed "out of a lot of blood."

Third, the Group of Eight leaders in the "Deauville Declaration", said: "Russia will be the Group of Eight partners committed to active cooperation with Russia to help it join the World Trade Organization during the year." As the world has not yet joined the WTO last the major economies, Russia hopes to join the WTO in 2011 the feelings of the end of long-distance running is very urgent, although the European Union and Russia last year signed an agreement to support Russia's accession to the World Trade Organization, the United States also expressed their support last year, but if the WTO the critical moment, Yinkazhafei trouble with the United States and Europe is too stiff, Russia had to be afraid.

Gaddafi in Russia abandoned this critical moment there are three news is necessarily associated with it, although not conclusive, but the attitude of the U.S. and Europe and Russia choices results, I am afraid that is not just a coincidence.

Finally, Russia's change in attitude, public relations victory for the Libyan opposition. Libya, "the National Transitional Council," Ali, deputy director of the Executive Committee • Esa Wei told Xinhua earlier, the angel of the opposition representatives have been meeting in Moscow with Russia, the Russian opposition has been a positive response. Libyan opposition leaders, "the National Transition Council" principal Xijialile May 28, also said recently the opposition welcomed the Russian policy on Libya made the adjustment. In a "relatively weak" in the Libyan opposition, in order to get Russia's recognition, may be out of its very favorable conditions, the government acknowledged the opposition, Libya, Russia, Libya may be the process of rebuilding from the future to obtain relatively high income .

We turn reasoned that, if Russia did not abandon the Gaddafi, Europe and America, "Sike" in the end, it is likely that such a situation: the other seven countries with the Group of Eight tensions, and France's "Northwest Wind" the continued deadlock in negotiations, and even abortion, and the U.S. helicopters trade fell through in 2011 dashed the aspirations of joining the WTO during the year, the loss of billions of dollars in the Libyan arms trade and the reconstruction process in the future, nothing. I believe that in any case, Russia is not willing to see, from this point of view, the Russian stock of the situation, abandoned Gaddafi, is not so hard to understand.

If we put this event into the history of the coordinate system, you will find alliances and betrayal on the international stage is very common, story of vertical and horizontal are often staged. In the national interest or personal interest, bad faith, may be the last war allies, the next war may be enemies.

Gaddafi abandoned from the analysis and historical experience, we can glimpse into the international military and political struggles of some "hidden rules":

First, there is no eternal friends nor eternal enemies, only permanent interests. International political and military struggle not to do the "virtuous" to seek the maximization of national interests, Gaddafi is the victim of this kind of exchange of interests.

Second, military power is the fundamental means to ensure national interests, should not be relaxed any time on military construction. Only a strong military power, energy and other "mutual assured destruction", to maintain a "balance of terror" is the fundamental national survival, which is a western continuation of the old balance of power thinking. In recent years, Gaddafi and the West in the "reconciliation" in the construction of an easing of military power, the "strips" is incapable of deterring adversaries today, giving opponents the root causes of deadly combat.

Third, the principle of state sovereignty often become a "system of decoration." On the one hand the traditional principle of national sovereignty, such as respect for national independence, sovereignty, equality, noninterference in each other's internal affairs, are still seen as the cornerstone of international relations, but on the other hand, almost of national sovereignty in all respects by the erosion and challenges. International humanitarian intervention violates the sovereignty of many countries, such as today's Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya.

Fourth, the interests of big countries toward the international situation is still the decision. Gaddafi is not "totally naive," the blind trust in allies, but he did everything on the big countries, might do anything that is the reality of justice.

Read More

Gaddafi's rencontre inspiration: military power is the fundamental means of protecting the national interest

In China, there is a saying, that is if the ox falls,whet your knife. This week, Gaddafi to taste that feeling.


May 27, the closing of Eight summit, Russia eventually signed with other members of the Group of Eight "Deauville Declaration," Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi agreed should step down. Medvedev agreed to act as "facilitator" and sent a special envoy to visit Libya Benghazi stronghold of the opposition, and said Gaddafi to step down, "regardless of Libya, or on the Libyan people will benefit." June 2, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov made it clear that Russia does not consider Gaddafi to provide "immunity or any protection."

Gaddafi

From the former "close ally" to the present as a "political corpse", the Russian attitude to the Gaddafi suddenly "fade."


So what exactly is Russia's choice "sacrifice" Gaddafi? Why choose this time to "sacrifice" Gaddafi rather than support for NATO from the beginning? Although we are not "WikiLeaks", not that one of the insider, but I believe that the following aspects can still see some clues.


First of all, the Russian change of attitude, reflecting Russia has begun to "Houkazhafei era," the layout of Libya, Libya's oil and gas resources to do a complete ready to fall into the hands of the opposition. In addition to oil resources, Russia and Libya still has a huge multi-billion dollar arms trade, Gaddafi won if the West is bound to its long-term arms embargo, and if the opposition wins, is bound to the bulk purchase Western products, the two results will bear the huge loss of Russia. But bargain with the opposition in advance, you can minimize that damage, even in the reconstruction process to cash in on some benefits.


Second, the key to changing attitudes in Russia moment, there are three news worthy of special attention.


First, France on May 26 announced the sale of four to Russia for "Northwest Wind"-class helicopter carrier reached an agreement with Russia. French President Nicolas Sarkozy before the start of G8 summit meeting with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, Sarkozy to meet Hou Sake announced that France and Russia have "Northwest Wind" class vessels trading to reach a final agreement, talks between the two countries had gone through several times twists and turns and deadlock. Does France have been eager to get Russia's "Northwest Wind" as a "betrayal" Gaddafi's chips, the outside is not known, but according to the Associated Press reported, G8 summit, held in Deauville, France, U.S. President Obama, President of France Sarkozy, Dmitry Medvedev, who was active on lobbying, which prompted Russia's attitude has hardened against Libya. From the current results, "Northwest Wind" is probably an important bargaining chip to persuade the U.S. and Europe one of Russia.


Second, the Russian Federal Military Technical Cooperation Agency 27, said that Russia would sell the U.S. military 21 m -17 military helicopter, equipped with the Afghan Air Force, each priced at $ 17,500,000 helicopter. In France and Russia, "Northwest Wind" in the negotiations, one of the reasons twists and turns continue to oppose the United States, and the reason why France and Russia to negotiate, the United States no longer opposed to is the key factor. Worth pondering is that the U.S. not only did not oppose the law of this fire, the Russian trade, but also "outsiders fertilizer into the fields" to spend more than 300 million U.S. dollars to buy Russian helicopters, is indeed "out of a lot of blood."


Third, the Group of Eight leaders in the "Deauville Declaration", said: "Russia will be the Group of Eight partners committed to active cooperation with Russia to help it join the World Trade Organization during the year." As the world has not yet joined the WTO last the major economies, Russia hopes to join the WTO in 2011 the feelings of the end of long-distance running is very urgent, although the European Union and Russia last year signed an agreement to support Russia's accession to the World Trade Organization, the United States also expressed their support last year, but if the WTO the critical moment, Yinkazhafei trouble with the United States and Europe is too stiff, Russia had to be afraid.


Gaddafi in Russia abandoned this critical moment there are three news is necessarily associated with it, although not conclusive, but the attitude of the U.S. and Europe and Russia choices results, I am afraid that is not just a coincidence.


Finally, Russia's change in attitude, public relations victory for the Libyan opposition. Libya, "the National Transitional Council," Ali, deputy director of the Executive Committee • Esa Wei told Xinhua earlier, the angel of the opposition representatives have been meeting in Moscow with Russia, the Russian opposition has been a positive response. Libyan opposition leaders, "the National Transition Council" principal Xijialile May 28, also said recently the opposition welcomed the Russian policy on Libya made the adjustment. In a "relatively weak" in the Libyan opposition, in order to get Russia's recognition, may be out of its very favorable conditions, the government acknowledged the opposition, Libya, Russia, Libya may be the process of rebuilding from the future to obtain relatively high income .

We turn reasoned that, if Russia did not abandon the Gaddafi, Europe and America, "Sike" in the end, it is likely that such a situation: the other seven countries with the Group of Eight tensions, and France's "Northwest Wind" the continued deadlock in negotiations, and even abortion, and the U.S. helicopters trade fell through in 2011 dashed the aspirations of joining the WTO during the year, the loss of billions of dollars in the Libyan arms trade and the reconstruction process in the future, nothing. I believe that in any case, Russia is not willing to see, from this point of view, the Russian stock of the situation, abandoned Gaddafi, is not so hard to understand.


If we put this event into the history of the coordinate system, you will find alliances and betrayal on the international stage is very common, story of vertical and horizontal are often staged. In the national interest or personal interest, bad faith, may be the last war allies, the next war may be enemies.


Gaddafi abandoned from the analysis and historical experience, we can glimpse into the international military and political struggles of some "hidden rules":


First, there is no eternal friends nor eternal enemies, only permanent interests. International political and military struggle not to do the "virtuous" to seek the maximization of national interests, Gaddafi is the victim of this kind of exchange of interests.


Second, military power is the fundamental means to ensure national interests, should not be relaxed any time on military construction. Only a strong military power, energy and other "mutual assured destruction", to maintain a "balance of terror" is the fundamental national survival, which is a western continuation of the old balance of power thinking. In recent years, Gaddafi and the West in the "reconciliation" in the construction of an easing of military power, the "strips" is incapable of deterring adversaries today, giving opponents the root causes of deadly combat.


Third, the principle of state sovereignty often become a "system of decoration." On the one hand the traditional principle of national sovereignty, such as respect for national independence, sovereignty, equality, noninterference in each other's internal affairs, are still seen as the cornerstone of international relations, but on the other hand, almost of national sovereignty in all respects by the erosion and challenges. International humanitarian intervention violates the sovereignty of many countries, such as today's Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya.


Fourth, the interests of big countries toward the international situation is still the decision. Gaddafi is not "totally naive" believe ally, but he did everything on the big countries, might do anything that is the reality of justice.

Read More

Libyan leader: the real reason for choosing China without hesitation

In the interview, Gaddafi made it clear that Libya is a good friend of China, Libya, in support of safeguarding China's interests to do a lot of work to convince some countries to establish political relations with China, or the recognition of one China. He also considered within the recent visit to China.



Hello everybody, welcome to today's "situation dialogue", I am Anthony Yuen. In the last week, we have mysterious Gaddafi of Libya with its leader, opened a mysterious veil, so that our domestic audience for the first time to close this person access to the Gaddafi, the Libyan this country . We went to the shooting team span of Trinidad Tripoli, Libya's capital, we have a lot of thoughts and feelings, there are many small places do we feel this country better than ordinary, such as speaking, our street in Libya, we are in the streets of China must make the car, but we actually met in the streets of Tripoli, the car makes such a civilization, move, let a state of shock. Moreover, the local people who drive cars while many, but the car or walking, people seemed not so impetuous, the country's happiness index beyond our imagination. So in these circumstances, we've made it after this show, we received a lot of repercussions, many people still are Western countries, the impact of Western media, saying that Gaddafi is a tyrant, authoritarian people But most of the audience for us to bring each and every Chinese family Gaddafi, the family living room every audience, in front of the TV to see when he answered our questions that, very thoughtful, and very fine Sound-spoken condition, we have a new step in his understanding. Today, we once again you play our next episode of this interview, let him come in person to talk about, he was the United States, the African Union, to China's views on various issues, we look at the first paragraph of his talk. (Hereinafter referred to Nguyen Anthony Yuen, Gaddafi called cards)


Nguyen: Let me interested is that you have previously mentioned Afghanistan, the situation facing the country, as the leader of an Islamic state, how do you think the U.S. can calm in Afghanistan, Iraq and the Palestinian dispute?


Card: U.S. withdrawal from these countries, which is Obama announced, and has already begun, and they handed over to the Afghan people in Afghanistan to manage, leave Iraq to the Iraqi people to manage, Iraq that Afghanistan worth mentioning, are not pose a threat to the United States or the world, but on the threat to world peace is the so-called Israel, only allow it to possess weapons of destruction does not allow other countries have such weapons, which is source of the threats. Threat does not come from Iraq and Afghanistan, threats from the Middle East.


Nguyen: your opinion, what is the situation of the Palestinians? How should the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States?

Card: The United States should work to make 4 million people were deported back to their homes, and in that area to build a democratic country to give up religious and racial discrimination.

Commentary: Libya is a multi-ethnic country, the Arab population of about 84% of the total population, there are other Egyptians, Tunisians and the Berbers. "91" after the revolution, Libya has always stressed that with the African and Islamic countries to strengthen cooperation, advocates of African Unity and Arab Unity. Gaddafi has always insisted that justice, equality, respect for national sovereignty and noninterference in each other's internal affairs based on criteria such as a new international order, against the big powers control international affairs. September 1999, Gaddafi proposed the establishment of "African Union" idea, he stressed, including United Nations reform in Africa should be united on major issues, to "speak with one voice." January 2001, in Gaddafi's driven by the formal establishment of the African Union.

Nguyen: I know you are published in the declaration, you have tried to establish the African Union like the European Union to achieve the purpose of unified views of African countries, for this process, what are your immediate objectives?


Card: My aim is to enable Africa to have seats in the UN Security Council, although the United Nations and the Council also did not carry out reforms, but this is the right of Africa, even if the UN does not reform, establishment of the African Union also contribute to world peace, we urge the friendly Chinese give support to the world the voice of African Unity, in order to allow Africa to have the ability to defend itself, in order to free Africa from slavery.


Nguyen: You advocate the establishment of the African Union and the Central Bank unified judiciary. This process already started? Still remains to be carried out?


Cards: We have decided to establish a unified central bank, and into the constitution, we have also established the African Monetary Fund and efforts to make it operational as soon as possible.

Explanation: The African Union is the second since the establishment of the European Union, but also an important regional country alliances, but also of political, economic, and military as one of the continent-wide political entity. Today, the African Union has 53 members, the AU flag on behalf of 53 stars. This is closely surrounded by 53 stars of the map of Africa to the green to symbolize the end of life and hope, symbolizes Africa is a continent of hope.


In recent years, the African Union in maintaining regional security, regional wars and conflict mediation has taken positive action, thus avoiding the security situation in some countries further deteriorated; They also promote the Member States to strengthen infrastructure, attract foreign investment and for and assistance to promote economic integration in the continent. "Speak with one voice" has become the main theme of the African Union has been.


Commentary: recent British Prime Minister, the new Prime Minister, when Cameron visited the United States, the United States, some members of Congress have asked for the Cameron Lockerbie incident to launch a new investigation, they recommended by the U.S. government to help Britain, to carry out investigation, because it was the death of the Lockerbie air disaster of the 270 individuals mostly Americans, but this proposal was flatly rejected Cameron, he said that this matter has been by the Scottish Parliament, has been made, and has been thoroughly investigated, and I did not necessary to listen to another country, the survey will know the result. Of course, we all know, the year in terms of the Lockerbie air disaster is a catastrophe on the Gaddafi, because he to this matter by the United Nations sanctions, and finally spent billions of dollars of compensation expense to resolve this problem, of course, we would like from inside his mouth, and then continue to learn, in the end of Libya in other countries, the current Foreign Affairs, has China, his view of how, he thought how, for other foreign countries come to what he is currently kind of the point. We continue to look at the section of his interview.


Commentary: The accusations by the international community and the sanctions have ten years, Libya's economic development difficult. 2003 United Nations lifted sanctions against Libya, Gaddafi actively pursuing economic reform policies, economic situation in Libya from a qualitative leap. In recent years, more and more of the Libyan importer of Chinese goods into the Libyan market, China began to import crude oil to Libya, bilateral economic and trade cooperation has begun to step forward.


Ruan: China's rising economic strength, the impact on the world stage is also growing. So you, you foreign policy with China, what decision-making?


Card: We are China's best friend, and we belong to one camp - the third world, China is not the imperialist countries, not the colonial state nor the capitalist countries, Libya, to win more friends and support to safeguard China's interests to do a lot of work, many African countries have had political relations with Taiwan, and China, but no, we do a lot of work to convince those countries, and promote the establishment of political relations between them and The People's Republic of China, but in economic and trade fields, Chinese mainland and Taiwan has close contact in this regard they have a very good economic relations, such as Taiwan and China yesterday signed a historic trade deal, but we urge States to recognize the one China.

Nguyen: Will you visit China in the near term?

Cards: Yes. I'm thinking.


Nguyen: Libya and China's exchanges in the economic field what strategy or policy?

Card: Of course, China needs to Libya, Libya is required to provide to the Chinese oil and gas, and other resources of the country, we can cooperate in these areas.


Commentary: In the streets of Libya, we are not hard to find merchandise department stores bearing Chinese characters. From August 1978 China established formal diplomatic relations with Libya since the two countries have maintained friendly diplomatic relations. According to local Chinese, said a few years ago in Libya 30 years ago just as the period of reform and opening up, like China, undone; them shelter homes, construction of oil and gas pipelines, railways and urban infrastructure projects, it is holding billions of dollars of contracts beckon to the world, but this time, committed to "going out" of the Chinese construction companies, relying on the friendly relations between the two countries would not be difficult to Libya, "Denver" opportunities.

Ruan: China's relations with many African countries are very close, you think China can help your country?


Card: Yes, yes. I said that it should develop relations with China rather than Taiwan, should adhere to the one-China position. In fact, the hard power of the United States is interfering in other countries, China is not, it is a mild way. We should develop relations with China, and China to cooperate. But they are Chinese complaining that China has begun human resources of colonial Africa, the Chinese companies into the Chinese labor workers in Africa, after the end of the project in the works to let the workers scattered and remain in Africa, so in the near future, large quantities of Chinese people will come to Africa, it seems, is colonization of human resources. They say there is no difference between the U.S. and China, the United States by force, the military conducted colonial, and China's human. Advocated the idea that the West and make the expansion, said, "You Africans will not only suffer the colonial population of China, but also let you grab the resources of China, emptying your mine, an endless stream of removed minerals, only to leave you one seat empty mountains. For China, denial, opposition to no avail, need to re-evaluate their policies and make improvements. This is my friend's advice to China. This helps the development of future relations between China and Africa, and now does not deal with these things will lead to dangerous consequences. This is the Western countries wanted to see, they have their purpose.


You see the events in Algeria, they use this as an example, Algeria and China against Chinese workers live in the riots, I fear the same thing will repeat in other areas staged. In this case, we will destroy all of us and a bridge between China and can not give our enemies a chance. I stress again that only the denial of no avail, but should re-evaluate the policy.


Nguyen: I would like to ask Mr President a more interesting question: If you want to make a choice between the two countries, which country do you think is more reliable?


Cards: There is no doubt, without hesitation, is China.

Conclusion:


We passed two days, two weeks of the Gaddafi made the personal interview after the broadcast, you may Gaddafi this person for his diplomatic thinking, thinking of his affairs, his administrative philosophy with a preliminary understanding, particularly in African countries to China he carried out various political and economic cooperation, he has his personal views. I personally feel that he has proposed, there are many views, our country was listening to people who may be uncomfortable, looked uncomfortable, but I think we must start to understand his point of view some African countries in our view in the end how, no chance for improvement of the Mian. In particular, he mentioned that many of our businessmen to Africa after locally, not coming back, not back, then on a particular African countries, causing psychological or social conditions on the shadow. After some of these investigations we have some areas where we have such a thing, we have many small business to some African countries, trafficking in counterfeit products, China's image caused us a lot of negative adverse effects, then this kinds of situations in the future how we can improve this area, not because we have a variety of African countries, economic or political assistance to the people of Africa have questioned the local state, have worries. So some of us, especially African countries, we have a lot to him military aid or economic assistance, we have, our times, it may only be able to hear the good side, because people are telling us that good things But like Gaddafi so he can raise another thought, perhaps worthy of our reference, we do not think we can only hear one voice, we need to listen to the voice synthesis, so it anyway, kaza Philippine Finally, I asked him, do you think, if you choose to do so, do you think the United States or China and reliable and reliable, he did not hesitate to speak, of course, is reliable, in other words, we are in his reckoning, China is still a reliable friends, so being the case, he put forward our recommendations in China, we also wish to listen.

Read More