9/30/2010

The U.S. revealed the scale of Chinese nuclear arsenal, which the nuclear bombs is four times more than India

The Wall Street Journal on the 27th carried an article saying, now China and India are increasing their forces along the boundary line between the two countries to deploy. It is generally agreed the view that India and Pakistan are most likely outbreak of nuclear war. However, if recent developments represent any indication, it is that China and India may be the world's most intense outbreak of the nuclear competition.


The article said that China and India now have a large and growing nuclear arsenal. It is estimated that China has nearly 450 nuclear warheads and India about 100 pieces. Despite the recent nuclear competition between the two countries began to increase, but in fact this kind of competition a long time: that China's nuclear test prompted the 60s of last century one of the reasons India's pursuit of nuclear weapons, and since then, China and India has been paying close attention to each other nuclear arsenal. In 2007, China started to upgrade its missile facilities in Tibet, northern India into their nuclear forces within the coverage area, then the nuclear competition between the two countries.


However, in recent months, the nuclear competition between China and India increase the intensity again. Last month, Indian Defense Minister AK? Anthony announced that the Indian military will soon deploy its new medium-range Agni-III missile. Allegedly, this missile can cover all the major cities of China. There were also reports that New Delhi is considering the viability of its northern border deployment of intermediate-range Agni-II more missiles. Just last month, the Indian Su-30MKI fighters to a squadron transferred to 150 kilometers from the Sino-Indian border areas. An Indian Air Force official said that in the middle of refueling, these nuclear-armed aircraft to do battle deep into the hinterland of China.


To China, its still improve the quality of its nuclear forces, quantity and delivery vehicles. Introduced this year, the Pentagon report on Chinese military power in the past four years, the PLA has deployed in western China, the old, the survival of ballistic missiles to replace the less modern, more capable missiles to survive. China's Hainan Island naval base a new nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine deployed to make it easier for these submarines into the Indian Ocean. Chinese military is also developing new long-range submarine-launched ballistic missile, the missile so that the PLA Navy's safety in the South China Sea waters, attack all targets in India.


However, the worsening tension not only from the side. China is also concerned about the growing strength of India and want to play a greater role in Asia, the desire, not to mention the growing India-US strategic partnership. Although the Beijing government has learned how its eastern edge of the area co-exist with the United States armed forces, but the close US-India partnership, or let the Chinese military had surrounded the concern may be. Moreover, the ongoing Sino-Indian border conflict, China and India, an important sea lanes across the facts, have made the prospects for India-US axis becomes more disturbing.

Similarly, India is also felt by the Chinese "string of pearls" surrounded. Here the so-called "string of pearls" is located in the Bay of Bengal, Indian Ocean and Arabian Sea, the construction of a series from China, ostensibly for the commercial port facilities. Chinese military relationship with Pakistan, involved in the Kashmir dispute and the Arunachal issue, which all lead to increasing tension in India to China. Moreover, in recent years (between 2000-2009), China's rapidly growing conventional military strength, an increase of more than three times the lack of transparency in military spending and military construction, have prompted India to continue their military modernization.


Therefore, India and China's nuclear force posture is represented by changes in the regional ambitions of each other knows is satisfied. And this is more disturbing than the traditional mobilization.


First of all, these developments indicate that China and India do not trust each other "no first use of nuclear weapons" policy. Among them, India has good reason to do so: the area of China is included in the task of deterrence (response to nuclear attack, to prevent the conventional combat against nuclear assets, suffered from the Chinese nuclear coercion to provide the free and the consolidation of China's great power status) Quantity , and more to let the Pentagon report on Chinese military power in 2009 of the question whether the Beijing government to honor its "no first use of nuclear weapons" commitment. For India itself, it relies on its nuclear forces to compensate for its conventional military gap between China's military power to adjust the imbalance between the two.


Second, at some point, efforts to enhance the deterrent would promote an arms race. Any Chinese efforts to strengthen its national defense will be weakened, or that is to weaken India's security, it will stimulate further the national defense; and vice versa. Changes in nuclear force posture would be very destructive and may lead to a crisis. For example, since 1962, the United States discovered the Soviet Union deployed missiles in Cuba, the U.S. military response made by the Navy's "isolated" island of Cuba, nearly causing a nuclear war Washington and Moscow.


Finally, India and China re-deployment of nuclear forces that between the two Asian powers have a deep and growing differences. This is heavily dependent on the future of peace and friendship between New Delhi and Beijing areas, it is a worrying message. India's military competition is only beginning to affect neighboring countries, a matter of time. For example, the position of China's nuclear force modernization is not only a threat to India, but also a threat to South Korea, Japan and the United States and other Asian allies. Meanwhile, India's national defense construction is undoubtedly a large scale in Pakistan uneasy.


Tension is unlikely to ease in a short time. This does not seem to think of ways the two countries to resolve differences, to the edge of the arms race is more like near full. Although the parties are from each other to benefit economic growth, but it is this growth - for the military modernization and rely on weak overseas trade - to create the conditions for increased instability.

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