7/22/2010

Once the aircraft carrier built: China can not stop foreign expansion

Subject: military service in politics and political conflict affecting Sino-US military conflict. Political division of spheres of influence, only aircraft carrier operations space!
First, China needs aircraft carriers

Skip this part, China is facing the South China Sea, the East China Sea, the Taiwan issue, asked the sea in the north has not stopped the problem before, definitely keep up distant future Russian naval confrontation

Second, China's marine environment

China is facing the ocean situation more complicated. North of Russia and Japan, sea power is still relatively strong, the direction of the East China Sea, unworthy descendants again in frustration, the South China Sea and comparison of chaos, though are some small, but very troublesome, the most trouble here in Singapore and the kangaroo country, in addition, direction in India is difficult!

Overall, China is facing the marine environment is not optimistic, for Japan and South Korea Australia India new to the existing military power of China, against an estimate is also OK, but it is almost impossible to be completely avoided, unless deployed nuclear weapons!

Faced with this problem, we can do is disintegrating, can not completely isolated among themselves - not only must not allow these countries to unite against China.

Therefore, Japan and South Korea as the U.S. core henchman, it is difficult to draw, only to combat the main draw supplemented; Kangaroo country into the United States to win over too soon, so tarlac combined cases from iron ore, for Kangaroo Country Leadership can see some clues; for India Asan, first as a South Asian country, it is certainly not willing to do the United States younger brother, followed by a close neighbor of China, it certainly can not play too far. Therefore, both sides try to put aside the conflict, which is a very wise choice, so rope in India than it runs out better for us! For Singapore, direct disregard of, either as the point of Malacca, which are not really even a P. In future, we open up the land-based canal, will no longer was concerned about the grandson of country!

Third, the U.S. Pacific forces

The power of the United States in the Asia-Pacific is estimated that many people should be more familiar than I, so only a brief introduction.

Seventh Fleet

Patrol area includes the Western Pacific, Indian Ocean and the Arabian coast, by the International Date Line until the east coast of Africa, north to the Kuril Islands, south to Antarctica. Combat area, including China, Japan, India, Australia and the ASEAN countries and regions, involving as many as 2.5 billion population. The fleet's basic mission is to protect the western Pacific and Indian Ocean sea lines of communication, maintaining the United States and its allies in the interests of the Asia-Pacific region, showing the power to contain regional power. Also, once the outbreak of war, should be to respond quickly, and the United States by land, air and joint operations with allied forces, to ensure the win the war.

Fleet weapons and equipment including: 45 various types of warships, 180 aircraft of various types, which ships 18 Permanent total displacement of about 20 tons, a Carrier Air Wing, a Marine expeditionary unit.

Third Fleet

Third Fleet deployed in the U.S. West Coast, the scope of activities for the East Pacific and Central Pacific Ocean, the Arctic Ocean that is north, south to Antarctica, the East from the U.S. West Coast, west to longitude 160 degrees, with a total area of approximately 50 million square miles. Headquartered in San Diego, California United States Naval Air Station North Island, the first aircraft carrier stationed there brigade combat missions for the East Pacific region, support the fifth, sixth and seventh fleet operations.

Fourth, China's aircraft carrier problem
China now known, estimates can be used, or as a research aircraft carrier - database on the 2nd ship - Kuznetsov

Therefore, I make three assumptions: First, Kuznetsov aircraft carrier battle as it is assumed, bickering own to carry, I do not respond; Second, assuming that the new China-made aircraft carrier, quantity, or one or 2, (holiday reasons), bickering is not welcome; three new office in China with Kuznetsov aircraft carrier generally similar to that Ski Jump, 6 to 8 tons.

Fifth, China's aircraft carrier timetable

Bedding above for so long, mainly to be a problem - the problem is that the Asia-Pacific command of the sea!

Why raise this issue, first of all, the aircraft carrier as a large ship, not a "coastal defense" thing, if carried out to take the aircraft carrier patrolling the coastline, would not people recalls Li Mao; 2, as offensive weapons, deployed in any place will cause great controversy.

Therefore, the aircraft carrier belonging to the fleet - personal guess, tile grid is not as good training to see if the carrier is not deployed in the North Sea Fleet - a purely personal guess! (Of course, the possibility of deployment in the North Sea Fleet also discussed below)

East China Sea Fleet - the face of Japan and South Korea to deter the Taiwan Strait

South China Sea Fleet - put down the Southern Fan, containing the US-Japan

Therefore, whether in the East China Sea or the South China Sea, are inevitably met with the U.S. Pacific Fleet, for the control of the sea is bound to re-divide the region, although the Pacific is the first ocean, but only put the two carriers is very difficult to land.

Actual control of U.S. Pacific Fleet is now fully approaching China's land area, and even intrinsically Chinese territorial waters, exclusive economic zone which are advanced, not to mention the high seas outside the exclusion zone. As discussed above, the Chinese aircraft carrier would not just cruise in the Chinese territorial sea, is bound to the high seas to protect China's territorial waters and airspace within the territory!

So, the question arises, the first U.S. strategic space to narrow, which is the seventh Pacific Third Fleet covered round the situation to change in the direction of East Asia, at least to cut an area to the Chinese management; Second, China's territorial waters and exclusive areas carrier will be completely closed up, then outsiders will be adopted here when the Chinese people at gunpoint in walking, such as Japan, South China Sea channel. Third, the Taiwan issue will be a pressing issue, regardless of the southeast, the aircraft carrier will definitely walk away from eastern Taiwan, Taiwan will be completely in a state of siege.

6, the results of Sino-US guessing game

Personally believe that U.S. pressure on China strategy has been to limit, in terms of geographical or political. The United States can no longer limit the performance of further oppression, or means of war, can be seen from this exercise, the red line is untouchable, and second, has been unable to pressure China, the United States, China, exert its utmost to sea.

Guess one, the United States will be designated for a high seas area of China, individual speculation in the South direction, as here, bigger, and the United States the opportunity to meet relatively small fleet, is China Zhuantonghaiyu, Shuangfang heart be acceptable, so in South Asia the United States Shi Li will Keneng is the first from Asia's

Guess 2, East direction of the United States temporarily would not compromise, will be the United States and Japan navy hybrid situation, but China will increase the scope of activities, facts have in front of

Guess three, to solve the Taiwan issue will be whether the U.S. forces pulled an important turning point in Northeast Asia

Guess four, China is likely to weaken their own in South America from the forces of the West Bank in exchange for the expansion of the Pacific

American Game in the Pacific - in a word, division sites struggle!

I personally think that - the carrier's schedule is the expulsion of U.S. forces in the timetable, we are not worried about equipment, but the strength of East Asia, we are fully capable of controlling the day is when the aircraft carrier out of the mountains!

Destroyer made in the non-stop, planes in flight, is also launching a nuclear submarine, aircraft carrier ready, China - What you ready? ? ? ?

VII Conclusion

The main meaning of this is that the emergence of aircraft carriers is to grab a piece of meat in the mouth the United States, the key is the U.S. willing to not let go of the issue, and now American game in a stalemate, the Pacific West Coast, the east wind prevailing over the west or the east wind prevails over the west wind are hard to say things!

But one thing has been very clear that China's national strength in the constant upgrading of China's foreign expansion is not stopped. Therefore, the end of the Sino-US political struggle, the day of political compromise, may be caused when the aircraft carrier.

3 Post a Comment:

You should not write like that to under-estimate Chinese scientific prowess nor to alarm Chinese neighbors. Said something humble.
WHY NEED AIR-CRAFT CARRIERS?
1) By the end of this year, China is the World 2nd largest economy. Meaning a lot of trade going to and from China that needed protection
2) Except for Japan & Canada, all top ten economy have at least 1 aircraft carriers. Even Thailand at 18 also has 1.
3) The world is not safe. Look at the coast off Somalia. Even Ukraine ship carrying heavy battle tanks were hijack. What would happen if the ship also carried anti-ship/ aircraft missiles say Sunburn or Moskit? Then even American USS George Washington may not even approach places infested with Somali pirates.
4)The giant ship may use as a hospital or rescue operation ship or center during disaster period. Eg. Acheh tsumani and Haiti earthquake.
5) Contribution to peace. When there is a strong force, the villains would toe the line.
6) Organic process - when country is rich, it will attracts thieves. Qing China was attacked by 10 foreign forces and Beijing was sacked. China cannot allow this to recur. John 10:10 says - The thieves come to steal, kill and destroy. China must be very alert to this.
7) There is a lot of off-drilling of oil/gas either off China coast or other places where Chinese oil companies drilled that need protection.
8) Similarly a lot of Chinese were be going oversea to work, stay or do business and their well-being and presence need to be protected too.
9) Tell me what other form can achieve this except owing (a few) air-craft carriers/

You should not write like that to under-estimate Chinese scientific prowess nor to alarm Chinese neighbors. Said something humble.
WHY NEED AIR-CRAFT CARRIERS?
1) By the end of this year, China is the World 2nd largest economy. Meaning a lot of trade going to and from China that needed protection
2) Except for Japan & Canada, all top ten economy have at least 1 aircraft carriers. Even Thailand at 18 also has 1.
3) The world is not safe. Look at the coast off Somalia. Even Ukraine ship carrying heavy battle tanks were hijack. What would happen if the ship also carried anti-ship/ aircraft missiles say Sunburn or Moskit? Then even American USS George Washington may not even approach places infested with Somali pirates.
4)The giant ship may use as a hospital or rescue operation ship or center during disaster period. Eg. Acheh tsumani and Haiti earthquake.
5) Contribution to peace. When there is a strong force, the villains would toe the line.
6) Organic process - when country is rich, it will attracts thieves. Qing China was attacked by 10 foreign forces and Beijing was sacked. China cannot allow this to recur. John 10:10 says - The thieves come to steal, kill and destroy. China must be very alert to this.
7) There is a lot of off-drilling of oil/gas either off China coast or other places where Chinese oil companies drilled that need protection.
8) Similarly a lot of Chinese were be going oversea to work, stay or do business and their well-being and presence need to be protected too.
9) Tell me what other form can achieve this except owing (a few) air-craft carriers/

Some of your ideas are very interesting, thanks!