The new European website on the 25th, published the article of JonathanHolslag Institute of Contemporary China Senior Fellow in Brussels. It said that China may start this year or next year, Dongfeng -41 using a new long-range missiles. China and India also has been working to install its missile warheads to increase number of mobile missiles through the enemy's air defense system to protect themselves.
The article claimed that after months of difficult diplomacy and personal adventure after adventure, "nuclear weapons reduction treaty," will undoubtedly be Obama's personal victory. It also has a new US-Russian relations power, and may increase the pressure on Iran. However, the broader international strategy background, this treaty to help create a more secure world is not big. In the past, most nuclear countries such as China, said nuclear weapons is only a paper tiger, has repeatedly stressed the need to build a nuclear-free world. But in view of its strategic thinking, is still hostile environment of nuclear weapons remain an important tool for deterrence. In short, there are five reasons why the nuclear point of view of these countries has not been a new nuclear treaties.
First, reduction of nuclear warheads from 2000 to 1550 can be called a big step forward. However, compared to China has about 200 warheads, 1550 is still a big number. Not to mention the two countries in the future but also the deployment of 700 strategic missiles had. The Pentagon estimates that China has approximately 100 long-range and medium-range ballistic missile, which most policy makers in China or India, provided that such reduction is just formalism.
Second, the quality is much larger than the quantity. U.S. and Russian stockpiles of nuclear weapons is undoubtedly a large number of countries the principle of mutually assured destruction of the product. Today, the nuclear states tend to pursue the strategy of minimum nuclear deterrence, which means some of the key targets of the strike capability. This requires a quality more reliable and available nuclear arsenal. Nuclear countries - such as China, Russia and the United States - have spent billions of dollars each year to upgrade its delivery systems. The United States to improve its "militia -3" missile. Russia has also increased the number of Topol-M launchers and applied research and development of new missile submarines. At present, China had increased the stock of advanced missile Dongfeng -25 and may be planning to start this year and the deployment of new wind -41 range missiles. Model in the United States and Russia, China and India is also committed to install more than in its mobile missile warheads (MRIV) to improve the ability to protect themselves. Most of the small see the military planning has become a new concept.
Third, the pursuit of deterrence in various fields. Even reducing the number of nuclear weapons, capable of launching nuclear capability and missile defense capability is also important, so many countries on missile defense is also a great investment. Not only the deployment of U.S. interceptor missiles in Eastern Europe, in Alaska, California and the Pacific Rim are deployed. China, India and Russia are also increasing missile defense capability. Moreover, space has become another battleground. Pentagon 2011 budget includes dozens of new research into large projects, can the United States as a military leader in the country outside the Earth.
Response, China is in the construction of new anti-satellite missiles and laser weapons. The official defense budget, including network warfare is generally not, but China, the United States and Russia has thousands of experts, ready to launch network attacks. In addition, Asian countries are investing in a large number of their arsenal, the United States is Guam and Hawaii into a huge military bridgehead. Europe may have dismissed. However, most Asian countries do not care about whether the outbreak of an arms race in Asia-Pacific region, but what kind of arms race will break out.
Fourth, the U.S. said it would continue to reduce nuclear weapons, many Chinese and Indians are skeptical. Most of the U.S. Congress who is militarism, but also unwilling to respond to new initiatives. For the U.S. Senate approved the "Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban," the treaty, by Members to support the withdrawal of tactical nuclear weapons from Europe or the acceptance of the principle of no first use of nuclear weapons, Obama has also made great efforts.
Finally, the United States is not seen as an honest middle of the country. Chinese officials have repeatedly accused Washington and the media to judge other countries in the civilian and military nuclear purposes of double standards. For example, in a recent meeting of Tsinghua University, military and civilian experts said the U.S. agreement with India's nuclear deal with Japan's handling of nuclear fuel and ambivalence.
Now, Obama won the support of many members of the government "free world" scenario facing the main problem is that nuclear weapons and powers will still exist between the complex security issues separated. Nuclear weapons may be more important because the field of space or network has many new forms of conventional deterrence. This may lead to some new code of conduct. However, emerging countries, nuclear power remains a stabilizer, a very cost-effective life support.
Second Artillery Corps intercontinental strategic missile Dongfeng -41 program designed by Chinese users
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