8/21/2010

U.S. military was forced to withdraw the quagmire in Iraq

    U.S. forces in Iraq last a full combat brigades from 19 am local time across the border between Iraq and Kuwait, to withdraw from Iraq. The remaining combat troops in Iraq on August 31 in total withdrawal. Meanwhile, the United States has determined that the remaining approximately 50,000 U.S. soldiers will perform tasks such as training the Iraqi army and will be withdrawn before the end of next year.

    
U.S. war on Iraq to overthrow Saddam Hussein's regime seven years after the show to the people of Iraq is still a disastrous confusion. The U.S. government prepared a sense of helplessness, withdrawal was the only choice.

    
Has become difficult in the future quagmire

    
The United States has declared war in Iraq is to overthrow Saddam Hussein will bring democracy and prosperity in the Middle East. Today, Saddam Although not, but stability in Iraq remains elusive, prosperity and out of the question.

    
Iraq this year on March 7 parliamentary elections. However, to date, the parties failed to reach agreement cabinet. August 16, former Prime Minister Iyad Allawi's party alliance "list in Iraq," Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki announced the break with the leadership of the "rule of law Union" cabinet negotiations, the political process and the peace process dragged on difficult decisions.

    
At the same time, the recent serial bombings in Iraq continued, the rebels have used the political impasse and the security gaps left by the withdrawal of U.S. forces is intended to "spoiler."

    
American and Iraq experts believe that if the political process can not promote, together with the rebels of harassment, the future of Iraq will be chaos.

    
Brookings Institution Saban Centre for Middle East Policy Kenneth Pollack, director, said the recent increase in attacks in Iraq, but in general, these anti-government armed groups in Iraq lacks the strength to shake the political system. The smooth progress of the Iraqi political process as long as local security forces are fully capable of combating the rebels, or that Iraq may again fall into the melee of the state parties.

    
Pollack said the situation in Iraq is characterized by changes very fast, one year after the situation might be far beyond current expectations. But right now, the situation in Iraq is not easy to turn for the better. U.S. troops left Iraq a future of uncertainty.

    
Decompression forced to unload negative

    
Improve the current situation in Iraq is far from clear that the U.S. military can play up the song of victory, longer-point. So why rush to withdraw it at this time?

    
Analysts pointed out that this is due to the huge cost of long years of war and soldiers casualties to the U.S. Government has substantial financial and political pressure, on the other hand, year after year campaign of U.S. forces need to "breath" to maintain and enhance combat capability in Afghanistan.

    
Since 2003, the United States while engaged in Iraq and Afghanistan wars. It is estimated that the war in Iraq will ultimately cost the U.S. three trillion U.S. dollars heavily, and then count to the Iraq war and the economic losses caused millions of casualties, the price amazing.

    
Obama is very clear, time-consuming and costly war in Iraq and Afghanistan have caused the American public weary of any decision to extend the troops for Obama and the Democratic Party, would mean a huge political risk and stress.

    
In fact, Obama has been in the war on multi-blame. American political circles and society of some left-wing forces condemn Obama's war policy and war, former President George Bush is no different, so that the Obama administration is very embarrassing.

    
In this case, Obama wants to win the support of troops in Iraq, the issue must take concrete action. This year will mark the end of the U.S. mid-term congressional elections, 2012 will mark the presidential election. The end of military operations in Iraq and complete withdrawal from Iraq time, choose the two key time points before, implies consider Obama's consideration.

    
By the pressure of not only the White House the war, there was repeated three U.S. combat troops sent to the front.

    
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Foundation for Middle East Studies Department Marina Ottaway said, while fighting two wars the U.S. military is a major burden. Obama's 3 million more troops to Afghanistan while withdrawing some troops stationed in Iraq, the U.S. military help "rehabilitate" and let the U.S. military can more easily maintain the present in Afghanistan, about 100,000 troops, strengthen Tully class armed siege offensive.

   
Although the withdrawal of military force is not bad

    
Security expert Michael O'Hanlon of the Brookings Institution, said the withdrawal of combat troops, leaving the 50,000 U.S. troops in Iraq and a lot of numbers, and have enough equipment and ability to remain objective enough to realize many of the United States.

    
He even considered leaving after the withdrawal of U.S. troops and the troops have the same deadly force, but had a name change, transformed into "the provision of training and support of the troops."

    
This view recognized by many experts on Iraq. They believe that U.S. combat troops will not make immediate changes in the situation in Iraq took place. Some people even believe that, even in the U.S. to withdraw all troops, the U.S. security contractors still rely on the composition of "undercover army," continued occupation of Iraq.

    
In addition to the U.S. withdrawal will not have a significant presence in Iraq effects, Ottaway said, the withdrawal of combat troops from Iraq, nor would the U.S. military throughout the Middle East affect the layout. In addition to continuing the U.S. military has 50,000 troops stationed in Iraq, there are troops in Kuwait, the naval base in Bahrain, as well as cruising in the Gulf naval forces. U.S. withdrawal from Iraq is not the end of military presence in the Middle East.

    
In fact, the United States has continued to maintain a military presence in Iraq has left a room. U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates recently said: "If (Iraq) after the formation of the new government intends to discuss with us since 2011 (the arrangement), we are certainly prepared to carry out such discussions."

    
U.S. withdrawal from Iraq does not want to be more unwilling to lose from Iraq. Analysts believe that if Obama continued military presence in Iraq with U.S. strategic interests, he may change the form so that U.S. forces remain in Iraq after 2011.




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