7/31/2010

Careful preparation:The United States may intervene in the South China Sea in a more intense way in future!

China Military Report: July 23, held in Vietnam's regional security forum, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to talk about stability in the region to resolve the South China Sea dispute on "critical", claimed the dispute hinder the conduct of maritime trade and hinder the other side into the area of international waters, the settlement of disputes "related to U.S. national interests." Subsequently, the Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi delivered a speech to be refuted.

South China Sea disputes the need for international, multilateral? Why the United States intervene in the South China Sea disputes, high profile? U.S. national interests in the South China Sea is under threat? This week, "Chen Hu Troops" with you to analyze the purpose of U.S. involvement in the South China Sea dispute.


Attempt to intervene in the South China Sea for three major reasons


Hillary Clinton is based on a manuscript prepared to make these remarks, which means this is not a temporary position, but after careful prior preparation.


To intervene in the South China Sea disputes, always have to have a reason, Hillary speak out so nothing less than a few reasons: First, the South China Sea dispute led to instability in the region, to resolve this dispute is conducive to promoting regional stability; the second is the current South China Sea dispute has affected this area of international shipping; there is the South China Sea disputes involving the U.S. national interest. Because of these reasons, the U.S. should intervene in the dispute.


As for the solution of the method, Hillary Clinton made it: the United States is willing to ASEAN, China and the countries together to discuss this issue and form a solution Xi Wang Zhe Yi issue of international mechanisms.


This made those remarks, national and international media in our country immediately aroused great attention.

We know, for historical reasons, the South China Sea dispute a long time, but all of these disputes are within the framework of bilateral consultations and settlement, which is a national (or regional) and another country (or region) between the bilateral disputes. The essence of the speech Hillary Clinton is to issue international, multilateral.

In the history of the South China Sea dispute does not lead to unrest and war


So, Clinton said the United States to intervene in the South China Sea disputes, the reasons justified?


First of all, basically the past half century can be divided into two, a former 25-year period is 25 years. Around the South China Sea should be said that the previous 25 years has been at war, the reasons that we are all familiar with the United States launched the war in Vietnam. In fact, the Vietnam War and even spread to neighboring India and other countries. Such as the U.S. military forces in combat operations, many are the Philippines, Thailand, some of the base to support it. After 25 years, rapid economic development in this region become the world's one of the fastest growing economy, which is 25 years exactly what the U.S. forces in the region is gradually removed from the period. Therefore, from a historical point of view, the South China Sea dispute and did not trigger the use of force against the region, and produce turbulence, but rather after the foreign forces into the region, given the region a war.


Second, the dispute affects the area of international shipping is more free to say do not fly. We see that not a single country in the region claim to normal trade and shipping have been affected. In fact, this area has been one of the busiest international sea shipping, international shipping has not been such a controversy, dispute of

The history of multilateral dispute settlement cases is a failure


Hillary's so-called South China Sea dispute settlement means that the United States to intervene, with multilateral and international approach. We must ask: Are you out of this "prescription" is not really the solution?


We also look at history. In fact, the existence of such dispute (or a similar dispute) to compare the concentration of many in the world or, in some areas is the use of this multilateral and international approach to try to resolve, but in fact have the effect of unsatisfactory. We all know the Middle East has been fighting for many years, until today, the Middle East dispute and the hidden danger of war is still not eliminated, but a lot of problems in this region are in precisely the so-called multilateral, international settlement framework, and is a long time dominated by the United States.


In other words, the bilateral consultations ways to solve the problem better, and this multilateral, international solutions are often caused more confusion, more difficult to solve.


The United States in the South China Sea "national interest" is what?

Since Hillary made these United States are insufficient grounds to intervene in the proposed solution is not a good idea, then why the United States hopes such a positive intervention in this problem?


If we now take another look at Hillary Clinton's speech, you will find the core of which is the point: South China Sea dispute settlement related to U.S. national interests.

As he said the national interest, we will immediately alert them: the United States, "National interest" is too much. No matter where, what problems, if the Americans stepped in, would say it is and the national stakeholders.

In fact, the U.S. national interests in the South China Sea region what is it?


First of all, international shipping is no problem; Second, business cooperation and development are being carried. Then, in the South China Sea but also the United States to seek any kind of national interests?


This is worthy of our attention.


The most recent performance from the U.S. perspective, the United States in the Asia-Pacific waters, "performing" quite well, first a series of maritime military exercises, such as "Pacific Rim -2010", Korea-US Multimodal speech and so on, now provoked South China Sea disputes. From these actions, we can see that the main concern for the United States recently put the sea in this region, we can feel the United States in the South China Sea region to seek the "national interest" described as "the plan have a large": This is not only a simple shipping and trade development, more U.S. hegemony in the region


U.S. attempts to act as "judge" rather than "peace dove"


In fact, the United States to intervene and its local community thousands of miles distant, in fact, not related to its core interests in a region not want to simply as a participant, but trying to act as a "judge" in role in the process to obtain the so-called "national interest."


In other words, the United States is not concerned about whether the South China Sea dispute is more fair, reasonable and proper solution, but the U.S. ability to participate in this process, so long as a "judge" the identity and role of the part in this process, then this process, the United States will certainly do our best to seek the so-called "national interest."


Each country has its own national interests, each country its own national interests as the highest, and never allow other countries to the so-called "national interests" above the top of their own. Once the national interests of different countries in contradiction and conflict, a conflict of interest related to the country should equal a fair and reasonable way of consultation and negotiation, and then resolve the conflict. But now, we see more of a certain country's "national interest" unilateral first situation.


As things stand, the United States claimed that the South China Sea dispute is merely involved in the diplomatic level, the future will not be more stronger, more intense way of getting involved in this area, we're not sure, but it does not rule it out.

In the past few decades, the U.S. military had entered the area, then was hit in the region, while themselves withdrew from the area. Now, the United States in its military power and trying to influence it back to the area involved, with the now popular lines of a cartoon where the one is this: "I will come back."

So, U.S. intervention in the South China Sea disputes, how to develop the future will bring, what kind of situation? The problem is that for a long period of time we should be a high degree of concern.

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