2/27/2010

PLA special operations expert analysed Dubai assassination: The three major details of the cause for concern

This photo Dubai Police released February 24 shows the road map of going into and out of Dubai, United Arab Emirates which the suspects assassinated Maba Huch

Core Tip: From the disclosure of the situation, the whole operation problems in the developed Dubai monitoring system. But a closer analysis is not difficult to find, if not in Dubai, and now no one country has a monitoring device at top hotels, while the implementation of the personnel did not take any measures. This is, if not intentionally, that is, operational planning major mistakes.

Dubai, United Arab Emirates, 24, said police suspected of the assassination of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) military commander suspected of Maba Huch number reached 26. According to foreign reports, the suspects are from the Israeli intelligence service Mossad agents. In this regard, recognize Israel.
But the media exposure of this action, we can get information? Xinhua reporters today that the military had participated in this special interview with "Ai Erna surprise" Shijiazhuang Mechanized Infantry Academy of special teaching and research faculty AI Yan Song.

I, the assassination requires multi-skilled

Xinhua Military: Some media said that the matter involved to the Mossad, you have to look at?
AI Yan Song: Israel's Mossad intelligence agency, one of the most important, its numbers were low, but the style of the most capable, the most vicious things. In many operations, in particular, is similar to the Israeli assassination of such a highly negative impact on operations, as its Foreign Minister of Israel to implement the policy of ambiguity Lieberman said that "Israel has never been not to respond, not confirmed, non - denial. " Therefore, in history, there are many assassinations have not been the government response, but for analysis abroad share the view that a lot of action on the modus operandi clear the table with the relevant evidence by the Department of the Mossad.

According to foreign media reports that Mossad's history of a number of assassination attempts, typically there are Munich massacre occurred, the Mossad carried out in "God's Revenge" retaliatory assassinations; April 15, 1988, Mount Saad sent special agents to assassinate Islamic Jihad, Arafat's right-hand man of the house, it was shot and killed more than 70; in 2004, Mossad launched missiles to attack Hamas spiritual leader Sheikh Ahmed Yassin fired three missiles , led to his death on the spot; in February 2008 the evening of 12 Mossad assassination of Lebanon's Hezbollah in Damascus on the 2nd leader Meunier. In the same year in August, the Israeli Mossad in cooperation with the Special Forces, but also the assassination of Syrian General Suleiman.

Of course, these have not been an official confirmation, just speculation LONDON.

Xinhua Military: has any information that a lot of Mossad agents are derived from the Israeli army special forces. That was you know, Israeli special forces are no assassinations, covert action to arrest the training?
AI Yan Song: Indeed, many of Mossad agents from the Israeli special forces. With regard to whether to carry out the assassination of the Israeli special forces training, we must first understand a problem, that is, the relationship between special forces and special operations. Not all special forces perform tasks and actions are special operations, special operations are not necessarily all special forces. Assassination attempt in the final analysis is not a very honorable action style, therefore, although theoretically the assassination of special operations, but countries do not link the assassination as a Special Forces major task of its own style. So when you read the relevant information of States special forces, it is difficult to see on the description of the assassination.

At the same time, the assassination is a broad concept, which required capacity is a collection of multi-skilled. Special Forces training is very comprehensive, and almost certainly to say that a qualified special forces had been equipped with the implementation of part of the assassination-style ability to act. Such as the Special Forces sniper, he was good at camouflage, responsive. When soaked into a successful sniper behind enemy lines, you can say that he had been transformed into a killer of. Thus, although some special forces and not the assassination of professional training, but in their training, they formed a "assassination operation" capacity. Refers to Israel's special forces, such as the General Staff Reconnaissance battalion, naval commandos and other subordinate the military establishment of the Special Operations forces, their training is still the main combat operations, training issues involved in reconnaissance, rescue, raids, counter-terrorism Soujiao so. If the assassination and secret arrests included in this action style targeted killings, then the special forces are targeted training. If the assassinations, and other similar operations as a separate training course for combat, I have not yet learned of the situation. However, according to the British "Sunday Independent" revealed that some special forces set up the assassination of the Israeli team, reported in the interview is a retired special forces, according to his recollection, where their special forces had received training in assassination and the implementation of a plot to kill action. This may be related to their environment with Israel.

2, from special operations to the agents need to complete the three major changes in
Xinhua Military: With regard to the foreign point of view, from a special operations agents to the national intelligence agencies needs to change what?

AI Yan Song: Special Forces is a special military group, it requires all members must possess superior physical and mental qualities, at the same time with a fairly comprehensive combat skills. Agent is a special group of special persons. If from a special operations to intelligence agencies of the agents, there are still many aspects need to change.

The first is to enhance the ability to obtain intelligence, special forces are also responsible for intelligence reconnaissance missions, but with the agents to obtain information totally different ways. And efficient access to information is one of the tasks a full-time agents.

The second is psychological tolerance, many agents would just completed a life-long task, but for the completion of this mission is the need for lengthy preparation. In this preparation, "long-term hibernation" is a psychological tolerance requires extraordinary ability. Everyone in extraordinary skill of these agents have received professional training, but they may be a few years after the arrival of hidden places and even 10 years, will not participate in any action, live mundane day. However, once ordered, they color on the restoration of agents, immediately mounted an operation worldwide. Born in the UK such as the agents of the Israeli woman Penelope, in the assassination of "Fatah" security chief Ali. Hassan. Salama ago in Germany, served three years of "sleep killer."

The third is to strengthen the skills of action. SCS members possession is a comprehensive operational capabilities, which play a key in combat role. However, as agents, its ability to act but with different agents in different environments because of its very special environment for different agents, communication, business, culture and so may become an essential action ability. Therefore, in order to become an agent, first of all have to learn to adapt to the complex social environment. Thus, from a special operations to intelligence agents, many aspects need to change to go through long-term training and nurturing.

Third, foreign intelligence services to assassinate the five characteristics of action

Xinhua Military: the assassination of foreign intelligence operations, both in the planning and organization reflect what the characteristics?

AI Yan Song: Foreign intelligence services carried out the assassination, often do not publicly disclose. At present, all the intelligence agencies control the assassination of information, mostly with incomplete information, or even a shadow speculation. Can not be more on the detail. For now I know the material, foreign intelligence services carried out the assassination, demonstrate the following characteristics:
The first is to develop a high degree of well-conceived plan of action. Intelligence agencies because of the particularity of their own career, making it more likely to have target specific activities, therefore, the operation carried out before the city meticulous planning and design, will take into account every detail very thoughtful.

The second is cost-effective intelligence support. Assassination is a highly time-sensitive actions, goals at any time to change course of action. Therefore, action needs effective intelligence support. For example, in the assassination of Maba Huch of the operation, the Israeli intelligence agency was monitoring their conversation with their families and monitoring their online booking hotel records.

The third is more than concerted action. The assassination of action is a complex process, to ensure that each link can not be a problem, which requires that all persons participating in the operation of the high degree of concerted action.

The fourth is unscrupulous. In order to achieve the purpose of assassination, the intelligence agency does not choose the purpose, using various means. Such as Israel female agents often use sex as a tool of assassination.

The fifth is kept strictly confidential. The Mossad, its adherence to the principle of confidentiality reached a paranoid position. 13 years in Mossad, Michael Ross, described in his memoirs: "agents can not be directly linked to the Mossad headquarters, to be entirely intermediaries, they only know to know ... ... like other agents, I do not know my colleagues real name, do not know his home address, married or not, whether there are children. "He explained:" If an agent to know more, once captured by the enemy to extract confessions, he might reveal the more intelligence. "

4, Dubai, the details of the assassination of need to focus on three

Xinhua Military: The Dubai assassinations were camera, exposing the Action What are the problems?
AI Yan Song: Although Dubai Police claimed that 99% chance of Mossad involvement in the assassination, but Israel has not publicly acknowledged. But I think at least there are several areas worthy of attention.
The first is the quality of the issue agent. With the changes of the times, the Western countries are hardly alone as before, ideals and beliefs to support the spirit of the pursuit of the agents. Many foreign intelligence organizations face a serious shortage of manpower resources, because there is no young people willing to become agents of. This appeared in 2002 in Israeli Hebrew press Dent Great work advertisement phenomenon, which was previously unthinkable.

Second, the disclosure of the situation here, from the point of view, the whole operation problems in the developed Dubai monitoring system. But a closer analysis is not difficult to find, if not in Dubai, and now no one country has a monitoring device at top hotels, while the implementation of the personnel did not take any measures. This is, if not intentionally, that is, operational planning major mistakes. This shows that the perpetrators of lack of experience, thinking carefully enough.

The last is the result of international influence and relations in the new system, do whatever they want, conceited increasingly unpopular. No matter who is behind this incident, are on their thinking, there is a serious misunderstanding, for the incident and possible consequences of ill-considered.
Xinhua Military: According to foreign reports, the suspects involved in the assassination were forged passports, the implementation of cross-border operations, then it created the current international relations and the impact of those?

AI Yan Song: fake passports in the past in a foreign intelligence services is widespread. But as a former Mossad agent said: "In the 20,30 years ago, you can use your self-published a false passport, quality is sometimes even better than the originals, but it is always fake. But today in 2010 is almost impossible, because any one of Dubai airport, a customs officer has a more than 50 years ago at the Hoover era FBI larger database, passport must be true. "visible in this operation, all passports yes is true, there are people in name, but people are false.

The implementation of cross-border operations, the greatest scruples of diplomatic issues and international relations. The incident has brought Israel to the wave in the limelight even more alarming is that, with more inside information being disclosed, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are also involved. At present, all relevant European countries have called upon Israel to issue the passport fraud. Britain and Ireland have summoned the Israeli ambassador after the incident, asking them to be the truth with the international investigation into the assassination, indicating the source of altered passports. German Foreign Minister Westerwelle said that Germany would "forced" on the assassination investigation. The assassination, which will be the Israeli invasion of Gaza last year, adverse impact, again the loss of diplomatic bargaining chip, so that Israel and the European Union in this respect the relationship between the cold worse.
But one thing we must not overlook that diplomatic relations between countries are interested in the final analysis, the incident although Israeli diplomats had a negative impact, but really to the substance of the existing international relations or national interests among the impact of changes in Therefore, I think that alone is unlikely to present a matter of international relations such a large environment real impact.

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